To build decision-making and create the future in reality rather than forecasting itĭecision makers, selected according to hierarchical position and level of expertiseĬan assume similar process to classical Delphi Panelists provided with pre-selected items, drawn from several sources, within which they are asked to consider their responses To be different according to project design in order to achieve consensus Open qualitative first round, to allow panelists to record responses
Finally, this approach could consolidate our understanding concerning the potentialities of the Delphi technique in RIA, especially in policies with several objectives.Įxperts selected based on aims of investigation The results in terms of a different perspective for each criterion enable us not only to identify the non-neutrality of decision analysis, but also to (re)think the stakeholder's participation into the context of the Law referred to. Thus, the Delphi technique enables the decision makers to obtain reliable information before taking a decision. Evidence advises that there are relevant myopic, omission, splitting, and insensitivity biases for decision analysis, because of the distortion of input. Moreover, the elicitation weights for each criterion previously selected were framed in an innovative way, under a different perspective, either customers, municipalities or concessionaires. 194/2009, which determines the regulatory framework in the Portuguese water sector and its potential criteria. To cope with imperfect knowledge, we have built the link between the objectives from Law no. Although the decision-making process has been supporting a different prescriptive approach, there is no neutral decision, which can reflect on the (in)efficiency of the government's action. This paper explores use of the Delphi technique on regulatory impact assessment (RIA) in order to select criteria as well as to analyze the non-neutrality of stakeholders in the Portuguese case study.
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